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Statistics & Prognosis: Great Article on Why They Can't Tell the Future
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On The Road


Member Since:
24 September 2009
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2 February 2014 - 6:05 pm
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Another example of "prognosis schmognosis"!

This great article was written by a human neurologist diagnosed with cancer:

"How Long Have I Got Left?"

The reason doctors don’t give patients specific prognoses is not merely because they cannot. Certainly, if a patient’s expectations are way out of the bounds of probability — someone expecting to live to 130, or someone thinking his benign skin spots are signs of impending death — doctors are entrusted to bring that person’s expectations into the realm of reasonable possibility.

But the range of what is reasonably possible is just so wide. Based on today’s therapies, I might die within two years, or I might make it to 10. If you add in the uncertainty based on new therapies available in two or three years, that range may be completely different. Faced with mortality, scientific knowledge can provide only an ounce of certainty:

Read more here.

 

 

Tripawds Founders Jim and Rene
tripawds.com | tripawds.org | bemoredog.net | triday.pet

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Los Angeles, CA
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3 February 2014 - 9:43 am
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Great article! Thank you for sharing. When my dad was diagnosed with terminal lung/brain cancer he was given less than a year - he lived for 7 more years! Like my dad, Shelby cares nothing about the statistics that gave her less than 3 months from her diagnosis of hemangiosarcoma - she's 5 months along right now and doing fantastic! :-) Positive thinking, prayer and healing energy has helped Shelby (and definitely helped my dad before he passed). 

 

Alison and Shelby 

Shelby Lynne; Jack Russell/Shiba Inu mix. Proud member of the April Angels of 2014.

October 15, 2000 to April 8, 2014

Our story: Broke rear leg in June 2013 - non-conclusive results for cancer so leg was plated and pinned. Enlarged spleen in September 2013 and had it removed and was diagnosed with Hemangiosarcoma and started chemotherapy. Became a Tripawd January 8th, 2014 and definitive Hemangiosarcoma diagnosis. Three major surgeries in 7 months and Shelby took them all like a champ only to lose her battle to cancer in her brain. We had 8 amazing extra months together and no regrets. #shelbystrong #loveofmylife

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3 February 2014 - 10:54 am
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Wow Alison that's awesome your Dad beat those odds. What a gift. I'm sorry he is no longer around but he definitely passed along that positivity gene to you :)

Tripawds Founders Jim and Rene
tripawds.com | tripawds.org | bemoredog.net | triday.pet

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Idaho
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12 March 2013
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3 February 2014 - 12:06 pm
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The Lab we had before we got Gus was diagnosed with MCT at age six. Since Cody had two lumps that were so far apart (one on his chest and one in the groin area), the local vet and the pathology lab at the university vet hospital said that he would probably only have six months or so left. We brought him home not knowing how long we would have but determined to love the heck out of him. That many years ago, the options for treatment were very limited, so we just had the lumps removed (clear margins) and kept on keeping on. Cody lived for another six years before he succumbed to a benign brain tumor. I was so very thankful that we didn't take the diagnosis as a death sentence, but went on enjoying life with him.

Kathi

Murphy is a five year old Lab/Chessie cross. He was hit by a car on 10/29/12 and became a Tripawd on 11/24/12. On 2/5/13, he had a total hip replacement on his remaining back leg. He has absolutely no idea that he has only three legs!

UPDATE: Murphy lived his life to the fullest, right up until an aggressive bone lesion took him across the Rainbow Bridge on April 9, 2015 and he gained his membership in the April Angels. Run free, my love. You deserve it!

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